VERIFIABLE MODEL EVIDENCE

Ressq prediction performance

This database evaluates the immutable final Ressq probability snapshot created before kickoff. It publishes sample size alongside outcome accuracy and Brier score so a small or poorly calibrated sample cannot masquerade as a strong claim.

SAMPLE SIZE3,842

HIGHEST-PROBABILITY OUTCOME ACCURACY54.6%

BRIER SCORE · LOWER IS BETTER0.2297

Calibration by confidence band

Calibration compares the average highest probability with how often that highest-probability outcome actually occurred. Small samples remain visible.

Band	Sample	Mean probability	Observed accuracy	Gap	Brier
under-50	779	42.9%	46.5%	3.6%	0.2125
50-59	2150	54.3%	53.0%	-1.3%	0.2426
60-69	639	64.2%	62.3%	-1.9%	0.2259
70-79	177	73.0%	71.2%	-1.8%	0.1912
80-plus	97	86.0%	75.3%	-10.7%	0.1782

Market breakdown

Market	Sample	Accuracy	Brier
1X2	1281	52.4%	0.1983
BTTS	1280	54.8%	0.2487
OU25	1281	56.6%	0.2423

Prediction records

10262026-1616-1605-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 23/10/2026, 1:01:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10262026-1616-1605-253

BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 23/10/2026, 1:01:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10262026-1616-1605-253

1X2 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 23/10/2026, 1:01:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-449-451-130

OU25 · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 22:07:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-449-451-130

BTTS · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 22:07:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-449-451-130

1X2 · season 2026 · league 130 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 22:07:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-455-1064-130

OU25 · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:13:10 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-455-1064-130

BTTS · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:13:10 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-455-1064-130

1X2 · season 2026 · league 130 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:13:10 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-136-134-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:08:47 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-136-134-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:08:47 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-136-134-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:08:47 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-133-131-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-133-131-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-133-131-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-128-118-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-128-118-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-128-118-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-121-794-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:06:20 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-121-794-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:06:20 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-121-794-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:06:20 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-7848-126-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-7848-126-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-7848-126-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-119-120-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-119-120-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-119-120-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-127-1062-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:04:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-127-1062-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:04:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-127-1062-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:04:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-135-1198-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:03:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-135-1198-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:03:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-135-1198-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:03:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-147-130-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-147-130-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-147-130-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-132-124-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-132-124-71

BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-132-124-71

1X2 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-228-238-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:12:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-228-238-94

BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:12:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-228-238-94

1X2 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:12:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 80-plus · Brier —

10252026-529-541-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:08:28 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-529-541-140

BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:08:28 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-529-541-140

1X2 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:08:28 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-85-80-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:04:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-85-80-61

BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:04:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-85-80-61

1X2 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:04:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-494-489-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:02:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-494-489-135

BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:02:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-494-489-135

1X2 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:02:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1393-741-144

1X2 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:03:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 80-plus · Brier —

10252026-1393-741-144

BTTS · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:03:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1393-741-144

OU25 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:03:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-225-217-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:11:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-225-217-94

BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:11:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-225-217-94

1X2 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:31:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-226-242-94

1X2 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:08:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-226-242-94

BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:08:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-226-242-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:08:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-4898-1854-44

1X2 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:14:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-4898-1854-44

BTTS · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:14:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-4898-1854-44

OU25 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:14:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-631-554-144

OU25 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:24:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-631-554-144

BTTS · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:24:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-631-554-144

1X2 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:24:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-567-3724-345

OU25 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-567-3724-345

BTTS · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-567-3724-345

1X2 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-867-496-135

1X2 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:14:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-867-496-135

BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:56:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-867-496-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:56:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-160-157-78

OU25 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:31:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-160-157-78

BTTS · season 2026 · league 78 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:31:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-160-157-78

1X2 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:31:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-339-347-106

1X2 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:27:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-339-347-106

BTTS · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:27:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-339-347-106

OU25 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:27:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-746-63-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:30:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-746-63-39

BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:30:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-746-63-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:30:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-77-97-61

1X2 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-77-97-61

BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-108-1298-61

1X2 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-108-1298-61

BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-108-1298-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-81-111-61

1X2 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-81-111-61

BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-81-111-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-94-95-61

1X2 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:25:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-94-95-61

BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:25:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-94-95-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:25:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-77-97-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:59:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-548-539-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:29:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-548-539-140

BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:29:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-548-539-140

1X2 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:29:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-538-543-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:28:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-538-543-140

BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:28:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-538-543-140

1X2 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:28:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10252026-722-9692-141

1X2 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

Inclusion and exclusion rules

Only the final snapshot created before kickoff is evaluated. Completed FT/AET/PEN fixtures are scored. Postponed, cancelled, abandoned, awarded and walkover fixtures are excluded and counted separately (0 in this view). Missing results remain pending. Older model versions remain attached to their original records.

Read the full methodology →