VERIFIABLE MODEL EVIDENCE

Ressq prediction performance

This database evaluates the immutable final Ressq probability snapshot created before kickoff. It publishes sample size alongside outcome accuracy and Brier score so a small or poorly calibrated sample cannot masquerade as a strong claim.

SAMPLE SIZE2,513
HIGHEST-PROBABILITY OUTCOME ACCURACY54.9%
BRIER SCORE · LOWER IS BETTER0.2298

Calibration by confidence band

Calibration compares the average highest probability with how often that highest-probability outcome actually occurred. Small samples remain visible.

BandSampleMean probabilityObserved accuracyGapBrier
under-5051442.8%46.5%3.7%0.2118
50-59146254.3%54.0%-0.3%0.2416
60-6939564.0%62.0%-2.0%0.2297
70-798872.4%75.0%2.6%0.1693
80-plus5485.7%74.1%-11.7%0.1802

Market breakdown

MarketSampleAccuracyBrier
1X283851.3%0.2007
BTTS83755.4%0.2501
OU2583857.9%0.2386

Prediction records

10102026-4716-227-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:29:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-4716-227-94

BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:29:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-4716-227-94

1X2 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:29:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-542-530-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:26:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-542-530-140

BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:26:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-542-530-140

1X2 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:26:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-10139-9593-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:26:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-10139-9593-141

BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:26:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-10139-9593-141

1X2 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 15:26:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-16936-16929-666

OU25 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:43:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-16936-16929-666

BTTS · season 2026 · league 666 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:43:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-16936-16929-666

1X2 · season 2026 · league 666 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:43:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7761-1834-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:40:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7761-1834-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:40:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7761-1834-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:40:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1836-1842-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:58 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1836-1842-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:58 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1836-1842-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:58 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-8663-1377-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-8663-1377-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-8663-1377-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-7752-1819-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:11 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7752-1819-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:11 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7752-1819-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:39:11 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-7690-1822-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7690-1822-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-7690-1822-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1841-1823-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1841-1823-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1841-1823-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:38:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-8146-1341-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-8146-1341-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-8146-1341-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1839-1340-43

OU25 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1839-1340-43

BTTS · season 2026 · league 43 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1839-1340-43

1X2 · season 2026 · league 43 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:37:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1358-1359-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:29:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1358-1359-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:29:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1358-1359-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:29:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-4686-747-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-4686-747-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-4686-747-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1368-61-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1368-61-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1368-61-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:28:21 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1348-53-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:27:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1348-53-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:27:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1348-53-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:27:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1374-1832-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1374-1832-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1374-1832-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:57 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-46-1350-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-46-1350-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-46-1350-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-37-74-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-37-74-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-37-74-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:26:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-1354-748-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1354-748-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1354-748-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1370-1356-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:15 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1370-1356-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:15 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1370-1356-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:25:15 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1343-1373-41

OU25 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1343-1373-41

BTTS · season 2026 · league 41 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1343-1373-41

1X2 · season 2026 · league 41 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1828-1337-42

OU25 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1828-1337-42

BTTS · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1828-1337-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 80-plus · Brier —

10102026-1381-1339-42

OU25 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1381-1339-42

BTTS · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1381-1339-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1352-1364-42

OU25 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1352-1364-42

BTTS · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1352-1364-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:23:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-73-1347-42

OU25 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-73-1347-42

BTTS · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-73-1347-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1351-1365-42

OU25 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1351-1365-42

BTTS · season 2026 · league 42 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1351-1365-42

1X2 · season 2026 · league 42 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:22:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1386-249-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1386-249-179

BTTS · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1386-249-179

OU25 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1389-253-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:49 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-1389-253-179

BTTS · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:49 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-1389-253-179

OU25 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:10:49 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-254-251-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-254-251-179

BTTS · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-254-251-179

OU25 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-257-250-179

1X2 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10102026-257-250-179

BTTS · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-257-250-179

OU25 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:11:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10102026-66-55-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-66-55-39

BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-66-55-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-49-35-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

10102026-49-35-39

BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-49-35-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:12:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10102026-57-36-39

1X2 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-davidson-elo-v2-k24-h45-joint-c1

pending

Snapshot 07/10/2026, 14:13:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence under-50 · Brier —

Inclusion and exclusion rules

Only the final snapshot created before kickoff is evaluated. Completed FT/AET/PEN fixtures are scored. Postponed, cancelled, abandoned, awarded and walkover fixtures are excluded and counted separately (0 in this view). Missing results remain pending. Older model versions remain attached to their original records.

Read the full methodology →