VERIFIABLE MODEL EVIDENCE

Ressq prediction performance

This database evaluates the immutable final Ressq probability snapshot created before kickoff. It publishes sample size alongside outcome accuracy and Brier score so a small or poorly calibrated sample cannot masquerade as a strong claim.

SAMPLE SIZE418
HIGHEST-PROBABILITY OUTCOME ACCURACY57.2%
BRIER SCORE · LOWER IS BETTER0.2401

Calibration by confidence band

Calibration compares the average highest probability with how often that highest-probability outcome actually occurred. Small samples remain visible.

BandSampleMean probabilityObserved accuracyGapBrier
under-500Not enough dataNot enough dataNot enough data—
50-5931454.7%53.5%-1.2%0.2486
60-699063.6%65.6%1.9%0.2275
70-791372.3%84.6%12.3%0.1401
80-plus190.0%100.0%10.0%0.0100

Market breakdown

MarketSampleAccuracyBrier
OU2541857.2%0.2401

Prediction records

10262026-1616-1605-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 23/10/2026, 1:01:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-449-451-130

OU25 · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 22:07:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-455-1064-130

OU25 · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:13:10 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-136-134-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:08:47 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-133-131-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-128-118-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-121-794-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:06:20 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-7848-126-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-119-120-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-127-1062-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:04:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-135-1198-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:03:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-147-130-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-132-124-71

OU25 · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-228-238-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:12:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-529-541-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:08:28 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-85-80-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:04:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-494-489-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:02:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-1393-741-144

OU25 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:03:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-225-217-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:11:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-226-242-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:08:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-4898-1854-44

OU25 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:14:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-631-554-144

OU25 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:24:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-567-3724-345

OU25 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-867-496-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:56:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-160-157-78

OU25 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:31:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-339-347-106

OU25 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:27:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-746-63-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:30:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-108-1298-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-81-111-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-94-95-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:25:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-77-97-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:59:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-548-539-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:29:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-538-543-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:28:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-723-718-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:57:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-8157-9580-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:58:34 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-5254-731-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:00:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-713-545-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:01:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-547-9571-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-715-720-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:02:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-534-9585-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:03:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-537-798-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:04:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-9593-719-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:05:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-542-535-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:06:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-530-544-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:06:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-4665-540-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:07:43 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-728-797-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:08:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-536-727-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:09:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-532-533-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:10:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-994-6343-203

OU25 · season 2026 · league 203 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:20:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-722-9692-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:40:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-724-10139-141

OU25 · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:05:58 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-531-546-140

OU25 · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:07:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-230-215-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:04:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-569-735-144

OU25 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:23:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-167-168-78

OU25 · season 2026 · league 78 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:30:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-628-3719-345

OU25 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-33-35-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:22:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-64-55-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:28:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-256-254-179

OU25 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:48:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-40-51-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-1845-15402-44

OU25 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:31:42 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1855-14219-44

OU25 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:31:43 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1847-15406-44

OU25 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:36:55 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-495-517-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:11:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-499-512-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:16:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-91-79-61

OU25 · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:18:42 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-52-34-39

OU25 · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:22:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-336-341-106

OU25 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:20:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-12831-4260-84

OU25 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-19475-1625-84

OU25 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-9341-1631-84

OU25 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:42 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-1630-9340-84

OU25 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-607-997-203

OU25 · season 2026 · league 203 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:20:49 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-9346-1649-84

OU25 · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:27:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-742-733-144

OU25 · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:30:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-249-247-179

OU25 · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:09:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-3723-1122-345

OU25 · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:06:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-15409-1853-44

OU25 · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:31:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-505-502-135

OU25 · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:12:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —

10252026-337-17115-106

OU25 · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:20:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-943-948-188

OU25 · season 2026 · league 188 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:33:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-25484-1595-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:58:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-1617-18310-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:59:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-942-941-188

OU25 · season 2026 · league 188 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:32:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1600-1612-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:55:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1597-1596-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:55:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-1611-16489-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:56:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10252026-1610-1603-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:57:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10252026-1606-20787-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:57:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10242026-1615-2242-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:03:05 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10242026-1598-1604-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:52:11 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10242026-1599-1609-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:53:32 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10242026-1608-1607-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:54:11 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10242026-1602-9568-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:51:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10242026-1613-1601-253

OU25 · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:01:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —

10242026-762-212-94

OU25 · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:04:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10242026-146-148-72

OU25 · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:09:55 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10242026-125-1193-72

OU25 · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:03:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10242026-144-7834-72

OU25 · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:04:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

10242026-152-755-72

OU25 · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets

pending

Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:06:58 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —

Inclusion and exclusion rules

Only the final snapshot created before kickoff is evaluated. Completed FT/AET/PEN fixtures are scored. Postponed, cancelled, abandoned, awarded and walkover fixtures are excluded and counted separately (0 in this view). Missing results remain pending. Older model versions remain attached to their original records.

Read the full methodology →