BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 23/10/2026, 1:01:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
VERIFIABLE MODEL EVIDENCE
This database evaluates the immutable final Ressq probability snapshot created before kickoff. It publishes sample size alongside outcome accuracy and Brier score so a small or poorly calibrated sample cannot masquerade as a strong claim.
Calibration compares the average highest probability with how often that highest-probability outcome actually occurred. Small samples remain visible.
| Band | Sample | Mean probability | Observed accuracy | Gap | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| under-50 | 0 | Not enough data | Not enough data | Not enough data | — |
| 50-59 | 321 | 53.8% | 54.8% | 1.1% | 0.2470 |
| 60-69 | 81 | 64.6% | 59.3% | -5.3% | 0.2457 |
| 70-79 | 14 | 72.1% | 64.3% | -7.8% | 0.2337 |
| 80-plus | 1 | 83.4% | 100.0% | 16.6% | 0.0276 |
| Market | Sample | Accuracy | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | 417 | 56.1% | 0.2458 |
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 23/10/2026, 1:01:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 22:07:23 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 130 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:13:10 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:08:47 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:07:01 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:06:20 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:05:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:04:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:03:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:51 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 71 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:12:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:08:28 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:04:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 20:02:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:03:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:11:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:08:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:14:13 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:24:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:56:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 78 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:31:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:27:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:30:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:14 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:24:25 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 18:25:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:29:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:28:27 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:57:45 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:58:34 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:59:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:00:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:01:00 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:02:02 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:02:50 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:03:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:04:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 141 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:05:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:06:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:06:56 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:07:43 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:08:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:09:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:10:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 203 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:20:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 140 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:07:24 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:04:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:23:31 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 78 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:30:04 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:25:39 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:22:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:13:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:28:38 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:48:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:21:59 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:31:42 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:31:43 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:36:55 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:16:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 61 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:18:42 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 39 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:22:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 19:20:12 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 203 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:12:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:42 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 70-79 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:56:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 84 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:27:22 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 144 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:30:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 179 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 21:09:26 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 345 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:06:46 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 44 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:31:54 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 135 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:13:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 106 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:20:33 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 188 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:33:06 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:06:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:58:37 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 188 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:36:49 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:04:16 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:04:40 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:05:05 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:05:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:05:52 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:02:41 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:03:05 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:03:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:03:53 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:02:17 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 60-69 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 253 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:01:29 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 94 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 17:04:07 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:08:19 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:09:08 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:09:55 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
BTTS · season 2026 · league 72 · match-event-monte-carlo-v8-contextual-player-markets
Snapshot 22/10/2026, 16:10:18 UTC · Outcome pending · Confidence 50-59 · Brier —
Only the final snapshot created before kickoff is evaluated. Completed FT/AET/PEN fixtures are scored. Postponed, cancelled, abandoned, awarded and walkover fixtures are excluded and counted separately (0 in this view). Missing results remain pending. Older model versions remain attached to their original records.
Read the full methodology →