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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
The model gives Flamengo the highest result probability at 60.1%. The full split is Vasco DA Gama 17.0%, draw 22.9% and Flamengo 60.1%. That gives Flamengo the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 0.85 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.80 for Flamengo, a combined 2.65. BTTS is rated at 47.8% and over 2.5 goals at 49.4%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 26/10/2026 04:08
