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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
The model gives Corinthians the highest result probability at 37.4%. The full split is Corinthians 37.4%, draw 28.8% and Mirassol 33.8%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.20 for Corinthians and 1.15 for Mirassol, a combined 2.35. BTTS is rated at 47.8% and over 2.5 goals at 41.7%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 26/10/2026 04:06