Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
The model gives Gremio the highest result probability at 36.5%. The full split is Gremio 36.5%, draw 28.8% and Atletico Paranaense 34.6%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.30 for Gremio and 1.25 for Atletico Paranaense, a combined 2.55. BTTS is rated at 51.9% and over 2.5 goals at 46.9%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 26/10/2026 04:07
