Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
The model gives Bahia the highest result probability at 47.6%. The full split is Bahia 47.6%, draw 27.7% and Sao Paulo 24.8%. That gives Bahia the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.30 for Bahia and 0.85 for Sao Paulo, a combined 2.15. BTTS is rated at 41.7% and over 2.5 goals at 36.4%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 26/10/2026 04:06
