Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 7 Oct 2026, 15:16
The model gives Bolton the highest result probability at 54.2%. The full split is Bolton 54.2%, draw 25.3% and Stoke City 20.5%. That gives Bolton the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.80 for Bolton and 1.05 for Stoke City, a combined 2.85. BTTS is rated at 56.5% and over 2.5 goals at 54.8%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 10/10/2026 13:25