Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 10 Oct 2026, 04:39
The model gives Atletico Madrid the highest result probability at 54.6%. The full split is Alaves 21.1%, draw 24.3% and Atletico Madrid 54.6%. That gives Atletico Madrid the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.00 for Alaves and 1.75 for Atletico Madrid, a combined 2.75. BTTS is rated at 58.7% and over 2.5 goals at 58.0%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 10/10/2026 13:35
