Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 7 Oct 2026, 14:08
The model gives Fiorentina the highest result probability at 45.9%. The full split is Genoa 27.9%, draw 26.2% and Fiorentina 45.9%. That gives Fiorentina the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.20 for Genoa and 1.60 for Fiorentina, a combined 2.80. BTTS is rated at 54.6% and over 2.5 goals at 50.4%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 10/10/2026 12:10