Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 7 Oct 2026, 15:24
The model gives York the highest result probability at 83.1%. The full split is York 83.1%, draw 7.4% and Northampton 9.5%. That gives York the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 2.00 for York and 0.55 for Northampton, a combined 2.55. BTTS is rated at 49.5% and over 2.5 goals at 53.2%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 10/10/2026 13:30
