Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 7 Oct 2026, 13:13
The model gives Swindon Town the highest result probability at 39.8%. The full split is Swindon Town 39.8%, draw 28.7% and Crewe 31.6%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.25 for Swindon Town and 1.10 for Crewe, a combined 2.35. BTTS is rated at 51.5% and over 2.5 goals at 47.6%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 10/10/2026 10:32