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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 6 Oct 2026, 20:14
The model gives Australia W the highest result probability at 43.4%. The full split is Germany W 35.0%, draw 21.5% and Australia W 43.4%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.75 for Germany W and 1.95 for Australia W, a combined 3.70. BTTS is rated at 70.9% and over 2.5 goals at 51.7%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 09/10/2026 18:22
