Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 3 Oct 2026, 20:06
The model gives Albania the highest result probability at 87.0%. The full split is Albania 87.0%, draw 9.4% and San Marino 3.6%. That gives Albania the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 2.85 for Albania and 0.40 for San Marino, a combined 3.25. BTTS is rated at 43.9% and over 2.5 goals at 58.1%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 06/10/2026 18:08