Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 3 Oct 2026, 19:11
The model gives Port Vale the highest result probability at 38.8%. The full split is Port Vale 38.8%, draw 22.4% and Mansfield Town 38.8%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.55 for Port Vale and 1.55 for Mansfield Town, a combined 3.10. BTTS is rated at 50.5% and over 2.5 goals at 56.3%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 06/10/2026 17:11