Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 3 Oct 2026, 20:06
The model gives Belarus the highest result probability at 40.0%. The full split is Belarus 40.0%, draw 27.3% and Finland 32.7%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.45 for Belarus and 1.30 for Finland, a combined 2.75. BTTS is rated at 50.9% and over 2.5 goals at 56.2%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 06/10/2026 18:08