Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 3 Oct 2026, 15:08
The model gives Kazakhstan the highest result probability at 38.1%. The full split is Kazakhstan 38.1%, draw 27.5% and Faroe Islands 34.5%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.25 for Kazakhstan and 1.20 for Faroe Islands, a combined 2.45. BTTS is rated at 49.4% and over 2.5 goals at 51.4%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 06/10/2026 13:07