Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 2 Oct 2026, 20:08
The model gives Northern Ireland the highest result probability at 39.2%. The full split is Northern Ireland 39.2%, draw 27.3% and Georgia 33.5%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.05 for Northern Ireland and 0.95 for Georgia, a combined 2.00. BTTS is rated at 48.7% and over 2.5 goals at 49.0%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 05/10/2026 18:05
