Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 2 Oct 2026, 20:22
The model gives Gibraltar the highest result probability at 44.2%. The full split is Liechtenstein 29.7%, draw 26.0% and Gibraltar 44.2%. That gives Gibraltar the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.00 for Liechtenstein and 1.30 for Gibraltar, a combined 2.30. BTTS is rated at 46.2% and over 2.5 goals at 46.0%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 05/10/2026 18:13