Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 1 Oct 2026, 12:24
The model gives Güímar the highest result probability at 42.0%. The full split is Güímar 42.0%, draw 24.4% and Hortaleza 33.6%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 0.95 for Güímar and 0.75 for Hortaleza, a combined 1.70. BTTS is rated at 32.4% and over 2.5 goals at 24.3%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 04/10/2026 10:22