Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 1 Oct 2026, 19:15
Final result: 1–1 · Prediction did not match the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Castellón the highest result probability at 65.4%. The full split is Castellón 65.4%, draw 19.4% and AD Ceuta FC 15.3%. That gives Castellón the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.90 for Castellón and 0.85 for AD Ceuta FC, a combined 2.75. BTTS is rated at 54.1% and over 2.5 goals at 61.0%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Castellón: 3-4-2-1 · AD Ceuta FC: 4-3-3
Last updated: 04/10/2026 16:09