Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 1 Oct 2026, 14:30
Final result: 0–1 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Senegal the highest result probability at 53.4%. The full split is Comoros 22.7%, draw 24.0% and Senegal 53.4%. That gives Senegal the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.00 for Comoros and 1.70 for Senegal, a combined 2.70. BTTS is rated at 49.5% and over 2.5 goals at 50.7%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Comoros: 4-2-3-1 · Senegal: 4-2-3-1
Last updated: 04/10/2026 12:44