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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 3 Oct 2026, 01:44
The model gives South Africa U23 the highest result probability at 42.6%. The full split is South Africa U23 42.6%, draw 26.7% and Algeria U23 30.8%. That gives South Africa U23 the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 0.95 for South Africa U23 and 0.70 for Algeria U23, a combined 1.65. BTTS is rated at 30.9% and over 2.5 goals at 23.0%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 04/10/2026 12:28
