Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 01:11
The model gives Colombia the highest result probability at 69.9%. The full split is Colombia 69.9%, draw 16.3% and Paraguay 13.8%. That gives Colombia the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.35 for Colombia and 0.25 for Paraguay, a combined 1.60. BTTS is rated at 48.2% and over 2.5 goals at 50.8%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 02/10/2026 23:21
