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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 16:19
Final result: 6–0 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Russia the highest result probability at 84.6%. The full split is Russia 84.6%, draw 5.8% and Namibia 9.6%. That gives Russia the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 2.15 for Russia and 0.60 for Namibia, a combined 2.75. BTTS is rated at 45.5% and over 2.5 goals at 61.1%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 03/10/2026 14:19
