Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 17:07
Final result: 0–7 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives England the highest result probability at 42.9%. The full split is Croatia 30.6%, draw 26.5% and England 42.9%. That gives England the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.35 for Croatia and 1.60 for England, a combined 2.95. BTTS is rated at 52.6% and over 2.5 goals at 55.2%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Croatia: 4-2-3-1 · England: 4-2-3-1
Last updated: 03/10/2026 15:32
