Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 20:17
Final result: 0–1 · Prediction did not match the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Hartlepool the highest result probability at 37.7%. The full split is Hartlepool 37.7%, draw 27.4% and Tamworth 35.0%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.45 for Hartlepool and 1.40 for Tamworth, a combined 2.85. BTTS is rated at 53.5% and over 2.5 goals at 52.3%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 03/10/2026 13:14
