Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 17:08
Final result: 4–0 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Belarus the highest result probability at 83.3%. The full split is Belarus 83.3%, draw 11.6% and San Marino 5.1%. That gives Belarus the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 2.70 for Belarus and 0.50 for San Marino, a combined 3.20. BTTS is rated at 45.6% and over 2.5 goals at 58.0%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Belarus: 4-4-2 · San Marino: 4-4-2
Last updated: 03/10/2026 15:33
