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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 17:55
Final result: 2–0 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Lokomotiv Plovdiv the highest result probability at 41.5%. The full split is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41.5%, draw 23.7% and Arda Kardzhali 34.8%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.15 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Arda Kardzhali, a combined 2.15. BTTS is rated at 43.2% and over 2.5 goals at 36.4%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 02/10/2026 08:53
