Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 30 Sept 2026, 00:27
Final result: 1–3 · Prediction did not match the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Serbia U21 the highest result probability at 40.3%. The full split is Serbia U21 40.3%, draw 26.9% and Russia U21 32.7%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.45 for Serbia U21 and 1.30 for Russia U21, a combined 2.75. BTTS is rated at 55.7% and over 2.5 goals at 57.3%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 02/10/2026 15:46
