Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 29 Sept 2026, 11:14
Final result: 3–1 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives 1. FC Nürnberg the highest result probability at 70.8%. The full split is 1. FC Nürnberg 70.8%, draw 14.0% and FC Ingolstadt 04 15.3%. That gives 1. FC Nürnberg the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 2.25 for 1. FC Nürnberg and 0.95 for FC Ingolstadt 04, a combined 3.20. BTTS is rated at 54.9% and over 2.5 goals at 62.0%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 02/10/2026 09:27