Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 28 Sept 2026, 01:12
Final result: 4–0 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Argentina the highest result probability at 87.4%. The full split is Argentina 87.4%, draw 9.1% and Bolivia 3.5%. That gives Argentina the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 3.05 for Argentina and 0.50 for Bolivia, a combined 3.55. BTTS is rated at 49.1% and over 2.5 goals at 63.5%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 30/09/2026 23:26
