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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 28 Sept 2026, 13:11
Final result: 0–6 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Lebanon the highest result probability at 41.1%. The full split is Maldives 32.3%, draw 26.6% and Lebanon 41.1%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.05 for Maldives and 1.25 for Lebanon, a combined 2.30. BTTS is rated at 47.0% and over 2.5 goals at 43.3%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
Last updated: 01/10/2026 11:26
