Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 26 Sept 2026, 20:03
Final result: 0–3 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Albania the highest result probability at 71.7%. The full split is San Marino 11.7%, draw 16.6% and Albania 71.7%. That gives Albania the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 0.70 for San Marino and 2.20 for Albania, a combined 2.90. BTTS is rated at 47.4% and over 2.5 goals at 45.4%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
San Marino: 4-3-2-1 · Albania: 4-3-3
Last updated: 29/09/2026 18:24