Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 26 Sept 2026, 01:04
Final result: 0–2 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Castellón the highest result probability at 41.0%. The full split is Leganes 32.5%, draw 26.4% and Castellón 41.0%. The result picture remains competitive despite that edge. Projected xG is 1.10 for Leganes and 1.30 for Castellón, a combined 2.40. BTTS is rated at 54.2% and over 2.5 goals at 50.8%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Leganes: 4-4-2 · Castellón: 4-4-2
Last updated: 28/09/2026 18:05
