Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 23 Sept 2026, 21:02
The model gives Sport Recife the highest result probability at 36.7%. The full split is Nautico Recife 33.1%, draw 30.1% and Sport Recife 36.7%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.15 for Nautico Recife and 1.20 for Sport Recife, a combined 2.35. BTTS is rated at 53.5% and over 2.5 goals at 48.4%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Nautico Recife: 4-2-3-1 · Sport Recife: 4-2-3-1
Last updated: 26/09/2026 19:07
