Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 23 Sept 2026, 19:13
The model gives Slovenia the highest result probability at 47.6%. The full split is Slovenia 47.6%, draw 26.4% and Scotland 26.0%. That gives Slovenia the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.55 for Slovenia and 1.10 for Scotland, a combined 2.65. BTTS is rated at 50.9% and over 2.5 goals at 53.1%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Slovenia: 4-4-1-1 · Scotland: 3-4-1-2
Last updated: 26/09/2026 12:36