Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 24 Sept 2026, 20:11
The model gives AD Ceuta FC the highest result probability at 42.7%. The full split is AD Ceuta FC 42.7%, draw 26.6% and Real Sociedad II 30.6%. That gives AD Ceuta FC the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.45 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.20 for Real Sociedad II, a combined 2.65. BTTS is rated at 52.8% and over 2.5 goals at 49.0%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
AD Ceuta FC: 4-3-3 · Real Sociedad II: 4-4-2
Last updated: 26/09/2026 11:36