Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 23 Sept 2026, 19:07
The model gives South Korea the highest result probability at 49.5%. The full split is South Korea 49.5%, draw 25.8% and Ecuador 24.7%. That gives South Korea the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.40 for South Korea and 0.90 for Ecuador, a combined 2.30. BTTS is rated at 44.7% and over 2.5 goals at 40.4%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
South Korea: 3-4-2-1 · Ecuador: 4-4-2
Last updated: 24/09/2026 10:32
