Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 23 Sept 2026, 19:07
Final result: 2–2 · Prediction did not match the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives New Zealand the highest result probability at 37.0%. The full split is Palestine 36.0%, draw 27.0% and New Zealand 37.0%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.30 for Palestine and 1.30 for New Zealand, a combined 2.60. BTTS is rated at 52.9% and over 2.5 goals at 48.2%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Palestine: 4-2-3-1 · New Zealand: 4-2-3-1
Last updated: 24/09/2026 09:02