Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 23 Sept 2026, 19:06
The model gives Lithuania the highest result probability at 48.3%. The full split is Liechtenstein 26.2%, draw 25.5% and Lithuania 48.3%. That gives Lithuania the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.00 for Liechtenstein and 1.45 for Lithuania, a combined 2.45. BTTS is rated at 46.1% and over 2.5 goals at 41.0%. The goals profile is restrained, with lower-scoring paths carrying more weight. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Liechtenstein: 4-3-3 · Lithuania: 4-3-3
Last updated: 24/09/2026 18:34
