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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 17 Sept 2026, 13:01
The model gives Energie Cottbus the highest result probability at 36.9%. The full split is Energie Cottbus 36.9%, draw 28.4% and FC St. Pauli 34.7%. The result picture is finely balanced, with no outcome dominating. Projected xG is 1.35 for Energie Cottbus and 1.30 for FC St. Pauli, a combined 2.65. BTTS is rated at 53.9% and over 2.5 goals at 49.4%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Energie Cottbus: 4-2-3-1 · FC St. Pauli: 3-4-2-1
Last updated: 20/09/2026 11:03
