Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 16 Sept 2026, 15:50
Dartford enters this FA Cup fixture in strong recent form, having secured four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. Their recent results include a convincing 2-0 home victory against Westfield (Surrey), a 1-1 draw away at the same opponent, and a dominant 4-0 win at home over Ashford United. On average, Dartford has scored 1.33 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.83 goals per game. Hayes & Yeading United also arrive with a respectable run of results, recording two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four outings. They recently defeated Camberley Town 2-1 at home and secured another 2-1 home victory against Sutton Common Rovers. Their attacking output is slightly higher, averaging 1.67 goals scored per game, though they concede 1.17 goals per game. There is no recorded head-to-head history between Dartford and Hayes & Yeading United, indicating that this FA Cup tie will mark their first competitive encounter. Information regarding their current league standings is not available at this time. The tactical battle in this FA Cup fixture is anticipated to revolve around Dartford's home advantage and their consistent defensive performances against Hayes & Yeading United's more potent attack. Dartford's expected goals (xG) for this match are projected at 1.67, suggesting they are likely to create a good number of high-quality scoring opportunities. Hayes & Yeading United, however, are not far behind with an xG of 1.29, indicating they also possess a significant threat in front of goal. This suggests the potential for an open and engaging contest with chances for both sides. The most decisive factor in this match will likely be Dartford's ability to leverage their home support and maintain their defensive solidity against a Hayes & Yeading side that has demonstrated a clear capacity to score goals, particularly in the second half where they average 1.33 goals per game.
Dartford: Dartford is expected to line up in a disciplined formation, likely a 4-4-2 or 4-3-3, focusing on a balanced approach to both attack and defense. Their tactical strategy will probably involve pressing high to disrupt Hayes & Yeading United's build-up play and exploiting the flanks with quick transitions. Key to their attacking play will be their ability to create chances from wide areas and convert them, while defensively, they will aim to maintain a compact shape to limit space for the opposition. Known injuries and suspensions are not confirmed at this time.
Hayes & Yeading United: Hayes & Yeading United are anticipated to adopt an attacking formation, possibly a 4-2-3-1 or 3-5-2, to capitalize on their goal-scoring prowess. Their approach will likely involve quick passing through the midfield and direct attacks towards the opposition's goal. J. Comley will be a central figure in their midfield, dictating tempo and distributing the ball effectively. Defensively, they will need to be organized to counter Dartford's home advantage and prevent them from establishing control. Known injuries and suspensions are not confirmed at this time.
A potential surprise could be an early red card for either side, drastically altering the tactical landscape. Given the high stakes of an FA Cup tie, emotions could run high, leading to a moment of indiscipline. Such an event would force the affected team to abandon their planned strategy, potentially leading to a more open and unpredictable game, especially if it occurs early in the first half, completely changing the expected flow and outcome of the match.
This FA Cup encounter between Dartford and Hayes & Yeading United promises to be a keenly contested affair. Our Poisson xG model projects a slight advantage for the home side, with Dartford having a 46.4% chance of victory compared to Hayes & Yeading United's 29.6%, and a 24.0% chance of a draw. The xG figures of 1.67 for Dartford and 1.29 for Hayes & Yeading United suggest that both teams are expected to find the back of the net, aligning with the 58.8% probability of both teams scoring. Ultimately, the team that demonstrates greater composure in front of goal and capitalizes on their created opportunities will likely progress to the next round, making for an exciting cup tie.
Last updated: 16/09/2026 14:50
