Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 16 Sept 2026, 17:34
The model gives Aris Thessalonikis the highest result probability at 48.6%. The full split is Aris Thessalonikis 48.6%, draw 27.4% and Iraklis 1908 24.1%. That gives Aris Thessalonikis the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.55 for Aris Thessalonikis and 1.05 for Iraklis 1908, a combined 2.60. BTTS is rated at 51.2% and over 2.5 goals at 48.2%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Aris Thessalonikis: 4-2-3-1 · Iraklis 1908: 5-4-1
Last updated: 19/09/2026 16:11