Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 13 Sept 2026, 20:07
The model gives Rennes the highest result probability at 42.8%. The full split is Sturm Graz 32.1%, draw 25.0% and Rennes 42.8%. That gives Rennes the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.25 for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for Rennes, a combined 2.75. BTTS is rated at 55.4% and over 2.5 goals at 51.9%. That combination gives a slight lean toward both teams scoring and the match reaching at least three goals. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Sturm Graz: 4-4-2 · Rennes: 4-1-4-1
Last updated: 16/09/2026 18:42
