Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 13 Sept 2026, 21:02
Final result: 4–0 · Prediction matched the highest-probability outcome.
The model gives Atletico Madrid the highest result probability at 82.4%. The full split is Atletico Madrid 82.4%, draw 7.4% and Osasuna 10.2%. That gives Atletico Madrid the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 2.25 for Atletico Madrid and 0.75 for Osasuna, a combined 3.00. BTTS is rated at 47.2% and over 2.5 goals at 57.7%. The total-goals outlook is more positive than the both-teams-to-score angle, so one side doing most of the scoring remains plausible. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Atletico Madrid: 4-4-2 · Osasuna: 5-4-1
Last updated: 16/09/2026 16:32
