Preparing match intelligence
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Available match facts and model output are shown below. This outlook updates automatically as the evidence changes.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Model output updated: 3 Sept 2026, 18:01
The model gives Bologna the highest result probability at 54.9%. The full split is Bologna 54.9%, draw 24.7% and Sassuolo 20.4%. That gives Bologna the clearest edge in the current result market. Projected xG is 1.70 for Bologna and 0.95 for Sassuolo, a combined 2.65. BTTS is rated at 50.1% and over 2.5 goals at 49.4%. Both teams scoring has more support than a high total, which leaves a tighter scoreline among the plausible paths. This outlook will update as lineups and player availability become clearer.
CONFIRMED LINEUP UPDATE
Confirmed starting lineups are now available and the fixture intelligence has been refreshed with the official personnel.
Bologna: 4-2-3-1 · Sassuolo: 4-3-3
Last updated: 06/09/2026 15:51
