Preparing match intelligence
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
We’re loading the fixture, latest team context and model outputs. A first-time preview may take a little longer.
Current probabilities from the same simulation run shown in the Simulation tab.
Simulation updated: 6 May 2026, 18:02
This is a crucial match in the Super League 1 Relegation Round between two struggling sides. Larisa, currently 12th, holds a six-point advantage over 14th-placed Asteras Tripolis. Larisa's recent form is poor, with a 'DLDLL' string, and they have not won in their last 13 matches. Their home form is also a concern, with only two wins in thirteen matches. Asteras Tripolis comes into this fixture with a slightly better recent form of 'WLWDD'. However, their away form is dismal, with only one win in thirteen attempts. The head-to-head record heavily favors Asteras Tripolis, who are unbeaten in the last six meetings against Larisa, winning four and drawing two. The most recent encounter was a 3-1 victory for Asteras Tripolis. Given Larisa's poor form and Asteras Tripolis' dominance in the head-to-head, the away side will be confident of securing a result, despite their own struggles on the road. This is likely to be a tense, low-scoring affair, with both teams desperate to avoid defeat.
Larisa: Larisa will be without a number of key players for this crucial relegation battle. Yvann Maçon is suspended, while Lazar Rosic, Konstantinos Apostolakis, Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou, Savvas Mourgos, and Luca Andrada are all sidelined with injuries. Their likely formation will be a defensive one, aiming to frustrate Asteras Tripolis and hit them on the counter-attack. Key to their chances will be the form of top scorer Ángelo Sagal.
Asteras Tripolis: Asteras Tripolis also has injury concerns, with Julián Chicco and Spyros Angelidis unavailable for selection. They will likely adopt a more attacking approach than their opponents, given their superior league position and recent form. Their key player is top scorer Julián Bartolo, who has ten goals to his name this season. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Asteras looking to control possession and create chances for their frontmen.
Larisa's desperation for a win could see them play with a higher intensity than usual, potentially catching Asteras Tripolis off guard. If they can score the first goal, they may be able to hold on for a vital three points.
This is a must-win game for both teams, but for different reasons. Larisa are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the table, while Asteras Tripolis will be looking to secure their Super League 1 status for another season. The recent form and head-to-head record suggest that Asteras Tripolis have the edge, but Larisa's home advantage and desperation could make this a close contest. Expect a cagey affair, with a single goal potentially deciding the outcome.
Last updated: 06/05/2026 17:02
Open the supporting evidence, probability context and uncertainty behind the match outlook.
14 days free, then cancel anytime. Your current page will still be here when you return.