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Model output updated: 6 Feb 2026, 12:07
This is a crucial relegation six-pointer at Turf Moor, with both Burnley and West Ham entrenched in the bottom three. Burnley, sitting 19th, are winless in their last 15 league games, a worrying statistic for manager Scott Parker. Their recent form has seen a string of draws against tough opposition, but a heavy 3-0 defeat to Sunderland last time out brought them back down to earth. West Ham, in 18th place, are not faring much better. They recently snapped a losing streak with a couple of wins but then surrendered a two-goal lead to lose 3-2 at Chelsea, a result that will have undoubtedly dented their confidence. Historically, West Ham have had the upper hand in this fixture, unbeaten in the last seven meetings. Both teams have shown defensive frailties throughout the season, with West Ham having conceded the most goals in the league and Burnley not far behind. The reverse fixture earlier in the season was a 3-2 victory for West Ham. The match will be officiated by Darren England.
Burnley: Burnley are facing a significant injury crisis. They will be without Zeki Amdouni, Jordan Beyer, Josh Cullen, and Connor Roberts due to injury. Additionally, Mike Tresor is unavailable, and key midfielder James Ward-Prowse is ineligible to face his parent club. Zian Flemming's recent return from injury is a boost. Jaidon Anthony, with five league goals, will be a key player in their attack. Given their defensive record, the backline of Tuanzebe, Esteve, and Humphreys will need to be resolute. A key matchup will be how Burnley's midfield, likely featuring Lesley Ugochukwu and Florentino, copes with the creativity of West Ham's attackers.
West Ham: West Ham will be without defender Jean-Clair Todibo, who is suspended following a red card in their previous match against Chelsea. Goalkeeper Lukasz Fabianski is also an injury absentee. Jarrod Bowen has been a standout performer for the Hammers, and his duel with Burnley's wing-backs will be crucial. Crysencio Summerville has also been in good goalscoring form. The midfield battle will be key, with Tomas Soucek's physical presence and Mateus Fernandes' passing range being important for West Ham's control of the game.
Given the desperation of both teams, a red card is a distinct possibility which could significantly alter the course of the match. Burnley's home advantage at Turf Moor, coupled with West Ham's tendency to drop points from winning positions, could lead to a surprise Burnley victory or a high-scoring draw.
Expect a tense and hard-fought battle at Turf Moor, with both teams likely to adopt a direct style of play. The leaky defences of both sides suggest that there will be goals, and the 'both teams to score' market looks highly probable. West Ham's slight edge in quality might see them emerge as narrow victors, but Burnley's fighting spirit and home crowd could be enough to earn them a crucial point. The match is likely to be high on intensity and could see a flurry of cards from referee Darren England.
Last updated: 06/02/2026 12:07
